Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.206093 0.239267 0.276109 0.320068 0.371110 0.428536 0.498090
2025-05-11 0.153116 0.197042 0.251058 0.322421 0.414343 0.528931 0.682922
2025-05-18 0.123059 0.169933 0.231744 0.319331 0.440496 0.602599 0.836665
2025-05-25 0.100626 0.147151 0.212087 0.309503 0.452343 0.654793 0.964805
2025-06-01 0.089020 0.136818 0.206900 0.317381 0.487799 0.741778 1.151156
2025-06-08 0.078288 0.125777 0.198534 0.318427 0.511924 0.813554 1.322580
2025-06-15 0.070637 0.118169 0.193972 0.324043 0.542841 0.898225 1.523743
2025-06-22 0.061877 0.107435 0.182819 0.317083 0.551716 0.947544 1.671842
2025-06-29 0.055274 0.099367 0.174888 0.314176 0.566445 1.007426 1.844321
2025-07-06 0.050416 0.093660 0.170178 0.316038 0.589294 1.083304 2.053793
2025-07-13 0.048115 0.092235 0.172773 0.331221 0.637826 1.210281 2.372770
2025-07-20 0.045491 0.089844 0.173241 0.342320 0.679736 1.329356 2.690893
2025-07-27 0.042746 0.086981 0.172656 0.351661 0.720094 1.451602 3.034172
2025-08-03 0.039476 0.082685 0.168813 0.354099 0.747073 1.550991 3.344698
2025-08-10 0.035994 0.077506 0.162555 0.350705 0.761376 1.625905 3.612729
2025-08-17 0.032231 0.071263 0.153358 0.339901 0.758417 1.663974 3.804950
2025-08-24 0.030579 0.069388 0.153152 0.348562 0.798997 1.800306 4.234742
2025-08-31 0.028469 0.066234 0.149790 0.349711 0.822698 1.901835 4.597059
2025-09-07 0.026938 0.064213 0.148698 0.355885 0.858653 2.035171 5.051769
2025-09-14 0.024585 0.059981 0.142082 0.348235 0.860794 2.089715 5.321038
2025-09-21 0.022756 0.056792 0.137543 0.345038 0.873348 2.170504 5.666426
2025-09-28 0.021412 0.054641 0.135239 0.347086 0.899207 2.286834 6.118323
2025-10-05 0.021000 0.054788 0.138563 0.363777 0.964513 2.509799 6.880843